Round 6

Monaco Grand Prix 2026: what worked in F1 Fantasy

The race is done — here it is against what we projected beforehand. Mean error at this round: 15.8 points per asset. The biggest thing we underrated was RBS (+25.3); the biggest overrate was LEC (−35.8).

Drivers

Asset	Price	Actual	Projected	Miss
ANT K. Antonelli	—	55	40.9	+14.1
HAM L. Hamilton	—	27	22.6	+4.4
GAS P. Gasly	—	25	6.6	+18.4
HAD

Constructors

Asset	Price	Actual	Projected	Miss
MER Mercedes	—	70	73.0	−3.0
RBS Racing Bulls	—	36	10.7	+25.3

This projection was reconstructed after the race: the model was re-run on data available before the round only (walk-forward). It does not count towards the pre-lock accuracy figure. Otherwise the review would show something other than what you could actually act on before the deadline. How we measure it →