F1 championship calculator · 2026 · after R14
Who wins the 2026 title?
Live standings, who can still mathematically win, and the odds from 10,000 simulated finishes of the season. Official FIA points.
Title favourite
Earliest it can be settled: R17 Singapore Grand Prix, if he wins everything until then while Russell scores nothing.
Who can still catch Antonelli?
Solid bar: points today. Dashed: everything a driver can still add by winning every remaining race and sprint. Reach past the line and the title is still possible.
- Antonelli29299.9%
Who can still catch Mercedes?
Solid bar: points today. Dashed: everything a team can still add with a one-two in every remaining race and sprint.
- Mercedes503>99.9%
- Ferrari
What if Russell wins Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Set the result of any remaining race and the table and odds recompute for your version of the season.
Constructors
- Mercedes503>99.9%
- Ferrari358<0.1%
- McLaren306<0.1%
- Red Bull Racing
Questions
How are F1 championship points awarded in 2026?
Grand Prix: 25, 18, 15, 12, 10, 8, 6, 4, 2 and 1 for the top ten. Sprint: 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2 and 1 for the top eight. There has been no fastest-lap point since 2025.
Who can still win the 2026 F1 title?
After R14, still mathematically in it: Antonelli, Russell, Hamilton, Norris, Leclerc, Verstappen, Piastri, Hadjar. Those are the drivers whose points plus the 233 still available exceed the leader’s total today.
How are the title odds calculated?
We play out every remaining race and sprint 10,000 times and count the share of seasons each driver ends on top. On equal points, more wins ranks higher.
When can the 2026 title be decided?
At the earliest, R17 Singapore Grand Prix: if Antonelli wins everything until then and Russell scores nothing, the lead becomes bigger than the points left to race for.